Secret Harbour, south of Perth, votes Saturday. One Nation polls at 21 per cent, level with the Liberals, against Labor's 33 per cent. Analysts say momentum favours One Nation, though by-election swings against sitting governments are normal.
Why it mattersOne Nation's performance here will interest other states, especially Victoria, which votes in November. If One Nation surges, it could shape federal races too, including the marginal seat of Canning held by Liberal MP Andrew Hastie, which overlaps Secret Harbour.
AustraliaA One Nation win would give the party its first WA parliament seat and potentially threaten Liberal MP Andrew Hastie's marginal seat in Canning.
✓ Claims checked against the source and corrected before publish. checked 2 h ago
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