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File image: Caregiver interacting with elderly residents in a bright, windowed common area of a care facility.
✓ ConversationPower & Policy

Australia now has more retirees than children, straining aged care system

For the first time, Australians aged 65 and over outnumber children under 15, creating a care and budget crisis.

Australia is aging faster than expected, and the numbers tell a stark story. People aged 65 and over now make up 18% of the population, up from 10% just 45 years ago.

Life expectancy has climbed to 81 years for men and 85 for women. For the first time in Australian history, seniors outnumber children.

The birth rate has collapsed to 1.48 children per woman, well below the 2.1 needed to replace the population. Fewer working-age people means fewer tax payers to fund government services and aged care.

Right now, more than 3,600 elderly Australians are stuck in hospital beds because aged care facilities are full. The aged care workforce is nearly 500,000 strong and climbing, but demand is outpacing supply.

Without structural reform, like tax changes or serious investment in aged care, living standards risk falling as conflict emerges over what the national budget can afford.

18 percent, up from 10 percent in 45 years
Seniors as share of population
81.1 years men, 85.1 years women
Life expectancy
1.48 children per woman
Birth rate
3,600 due to aged care shortage
Elderly in hospital beds

Why it mattersFewer workers paying tax must support more retirees needing care. This threatens government spending power and living standards.

AustraliaEvery Australian will feel the pressure: aged care waiting lists grow, tax debates sharpen, and families shoulder more unpaid care work.

✓ Claims checked against the source. checked 3 h ago

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