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Labor closes gap in Victoria ahead of November election

A DemosAU poll shows Labor has narrowed the Coalition's two-party lead to 52-48, down from 55-45 in August.

Two months before Victoria's November 28 election, Labor is gaining ground on the Coalition. The latest DemosAU poll, conducted from September 10-20 across 1,020 voters, shows the Coalition at 30% primary vote (down two points), Labor at 25% (up two), One Nation at 20%, and the Greens at 14%.

After preferences, the Coalition leads 52-48, but this represents a three-point gain for Labor in two months. Liberal leader Jess Wilson has a positive approval rating of +8, while Labor Premier Ben Carroll sits at −14.

One Nation leader Warren Pickering is at −18.

September 10-20
Poll date
1,020 voters
Sample size
Coalition 52, Labor 48
After-preference split
November 28
Election date

Why it mattersThe narrowing gap signals Labor is closing in and suggests a tighter race than recent polling, which could reshape Victoria's November result.

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