Sunday 15 November, Power & Policy

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Ben Carroll. A man in a dark suit and striped tie looks upward with a calm, neutral expression while seated at what appears to be a formal indoor event, with a blurred woman visible behind him.
✓ PerthNowPower & Policy1 min read

Victorian Premier Ben Carroll risks losing his own seat as Coalition pulls

With just over two weeks until the Victorian election, betting odds favour Opposition to win the Premier's own seat.

Victorian Premier Ben Carroll is at risk of losing his own seat of Niddrie in the November 28 state election. A new tracking poll by News Corp Australia shows the Coalition is ahead.

The Coalition has risen to 32 per cent while Labor has fallen to 21 per cent. One Nation sits at 23 per cent, the Greens at 14 per cent.

Opposition Leader Jess Wilson is more popular than Carroll. Wilson sits at plus 17 in support while Carroll trails at minus 19.

Bookmaker Sportsbet has shortened odds on Carroll retaining his seat. He now pays $2.80 while the Liberals pay $1.45.

The poll surveyed 1,351 Victorian voters online. Labor's weak position reflects 12 years in government.

Former premiers Dan Andrews and Jacinta Allan remain unpopular. Claims at a royal commission into major infrastructure projects have also hurt Labor.

32 percent
Coalition primary vote
21 percent
Labor primary vote
1,351 voters
Poll sample size
Just over two weeks
Days until election

Why it mattersAn incumbent premier facing the real prospect of losing his own constituency signals a major defeat heading into one of Australia's most closely watched state elections.

AustraliaVictoria's election is now the state's political battle of the year, with implications for Labor strategy and Coalition governance across a major Australian economy.

✓ Claims checked against the source. checked 2 d ago

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