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File image: Heavy logging truck laden with timber beside forest, mud-caked wheels and hauling equipment visible.
✓ Google TrendsPower & Policy

One Nation gains ground in Gippsland, threatening Nationals' stronghold

A six-month poll of more than 7,700 Victorians found One Nation has substantial support in Gippsland, where Nationals hold a 24.6 percent margin.

The Roy Morgan survey, conducted over the phone, online and face-to-face, suggests One Nation could win three or four of the five Gippsland seats currently held mostly by the Nationals. Gippsland East, where the Nationals won with 24.6 percent margin in the last state election, is a key target.

Voters in the region cite the 2024 logging ban, which cost up to 4,000 timber industry jobs, and the planned 2035 closure of the Loy Yang A coal power station. One Nation has promised to keep the power station open indefinitely.

Pollster Michele Levine said voters are angry and One Nation is giving voice to that anger. Nationals Leader Danny O'Brien acknowledged the threat, saying people now feel they have permission to vote One Nation.

7,700 Victorians
Survey size
24.6 percent
Nationals margin in Gippsland East
3 or 4 of 5 seats
Possible One Nation wins
up to 4,000
Jobs lost in logging ban

Why it mattersOne Nation's rise in a safe Coalition stronghold could reshape Victorian parliament and test major parties' grip on regional seats.

AustraliaA potential shift in Gippsland seats could change the balance in Victorian state parliament and signal broader regional discontent.

✓ Claims checked against the source and corrected before publish. checked 3 h ago

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