Friday 6 November, Power & Policy

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✓ ConversationPower & Policy1 min read

Hispanic voters who backed Trump swing sharply toward Democrats

Hispanic and Latino voters supported Trump in 2024. In midterm elections, they swung heavily toward Democrats. This marked a dramatic reversal.

In 2024, Hispanic and Latino voters backed Trump. Now they have swung sharply to Democrats in the midterms.

Young voters made the biggest shift, swinging by more than 30 percentage points. Exit polls and New York Times analysis show shifts in Florida, Texas and elsewhere.

Economic pressures drove the change through tariffs and rising petrol costs. Democratic messages about corruption and billionaire influence also mattered.

Hunt says this backlash is historic, in a completely different league than 2018.

More than 30 percentage points
Young voter swing
Florida, Texas and elsewhere
States showing shift
Charles Hunt, Boise State University
Political scientist
1974 Watergate midterms
Historical comparison

Why it mattersThe rapid swing reveals deep instability in Trump's coalition. It suggests weaker backing for his movement among key voting groups in future elections.

AustraliaNo direct Australian effect yet, but the US political turbulence may influence Australian policy settings and trade negotiations depending on who holds power in Washington.

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