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File image: The distinctive Beehive parliament building in Wellington, New Zealand, with flagpole against clear blue sky.
✓ PerthNowPower & Policy

New Zealand's National party faces historic election defeat

New Zealand's National party has fallen to 25.9 per cent, its worst in six years, as Labour leads at 30.8 per cent.

A month before New Zealand's November 7 election, Prime Minister Chris Luxon's National party has fallen 3.2 per cent in a month and 6.6 per cent in a year. Labour leads on 30.8 per cent and would likely form government.

The Greens have surged almost five points to 14.8 per cent, with co-leaders Chloe Swarbick and Marama Davidson. Luxon's personal approval is deeply negative at -24, and 53 per cent of voters think the country is on the wrong track.

National has held office six times since 1949 but has never failed to win a second term. Labour leader Chris Hipkins leads Luxon as preferred prime minister 22 per cent to 17.

25.9 per cent
National party support
30.8 per cent
Labour party support
14.8 per cent
Greens party support
-24
Luxon net favourability

Why it mattersA regional government shift can reshape trade, immigration, and diplomatic ties across the Tasman.

AustraliaNew Zealand government change could affect trans-Tasman relations, trade arrangements, and regional security policy.

✓ Claims checked against the source. checked 1 d ago

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