Nationals face wipeout in Victoria as One Nation surges to 20%
Victorian Nationals hold nine seats but could lose most to One Nation, which polls at about 20% statewide.
Victorian Nationals leader Danny O'Brien says there are no safe seats in his heartland anymore. The party holds nine seats in the lower house after winning three in 2022, its best result since 1943.
One Nation now hovers near 20% statewide, with higher support in regional areas. Polls suggest the Nationals could face a major loss of seats to Pauline Hanson's party.
In towns like Sale and Yarram, industries are vanishing: oil and gas decommissioning, timber mill closures, and offshore wind plans with unclear local benefit. One Nation promises to halt renewables, keep coal open and restore logging.
These pledges appeal to voters frustrated by cost of living, interest rates and failing roads. The Nationals hope their 2022 strategy of selecting popular local candidates will hold their ground.
- 20% statewide
- One Nation polling
- 9 in lower house
- Nationals seats
- 1943
- Best result year
- Sale, Yarram
- Regional towns affected
Why it mattersVictoria's November election could reshape regional politics if One Nation displaces the Nationals, reshaping the Coalition's state power.
AustraliaVictorian voters will decide whether regional politics shifts from the Nationals to One Nation, potentially upending the state government's rural representation and policy direction on energy and agriculture.
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