Victoria election poised to produce hung parliament as One Nation surges
Neither Labor nor the Coalition is likely to win a majority, risking a hung parliament.
Victoria's election this month will test a new three-way political split. Labor polls under 30%, the Coalition around 30%, and One Nation in the low 20s.
In single-member electorates, neither Labor nor the Coalition will likely reach a majority of seats. One Nation is expected to win at least 15% of the seats.
Both major parties have pledged never to form a government with One Nation, even if they cannot govern without its support. This could leave Victoria in a stalemate similar to Israel's current situation, where neither bloc can form a majority and neither is willing to work with the other.
- under 30%
- Labor polling
- around 30%
- Coalition polling
- low 20s
- One Nation polling
- at least 15%
- One Nation expected seats
Why it mattersA hung parliament means no party has clear power to form government, risking political deadlock and raising questions about how the governor will resolve the impasse.
AustraliaVictoria's October election will be Australia's first major test of whether two major parties can govern separately when neither commands a majority and a third party holds the balance.
✓ Claims checked against the source and corrected before publish. checked 2 h ago
