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✓ ConversationPower & Policy1 min read

One Nation surges to 25% in NSW polls as cost-of-living anger grows

Latest NSW polling shows One Nation at 25%, just behind Labor's 29% and ahead of Coalition's 24%, as cost-of-living anger grows.

One Nation is tracking as a serious threat in next year's NSW state election. One Nation polls at 25% support in the latest Resolve poll, ahead of the Coalition on 24% and behind Labor on 29%.

NSW Premier Chris Minns predicted One Nation leader Mike Newman could be premier or opposition leader after the March 2027 vote. Minns runs a minority government but is seen as well-placed for a second term.

Federal inflation hit 4.3% in September, pushing voters' cost-of-living anxiety higher. An Essential poll found 61% of Australians think the country is on the wrong track, up sharply from 46% a year ago.

One Nation is now the party Australians most trust on the economy after Labor, ahead of the Coalition.

25%
One Nation support
29%
Labor support
March 13, 2027
NSW election date
4.3%
Federal inflation September

Why it mattersAn One Nation surge in NSW, Australia's most populous state, would reshape Australian politics federally and weaken the Liberal and National parties at the national level.

AustraliaNSW voters are moving toward One Nation and away from the major parties as federal inflation and cost-of-living concerns spill into state politics, with the election just months away.

✓ Claims checked against the source and corrected before publish. checked 4 h ago

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