Trump's hold on Republicans likely to survive a House loss
Even if Democrats win, populism and Trump's influence over the GOP will probably endure, analysts say.
A Democratic victory in today's midterms might feel like America is rejecting Donald Trump. Trump won bigger in his second race than his first, despite criminal charges.
But that suggests voters rejected Joe Biden more than they embraced Trump personally. The Trump agenda of lower prices, no new wars, tariffs and closing the border appealed.
If affordability is the main issue driving voters today, they are judging whether Republicans delivered on populism. They are not abandoning populism itself.
Trump has remade the GOP into a populist party. Even with a House loss, his influence does not vanish overnight.
His potential successor, Vice President J.D. Vance, represents the MAGA base more than other contenders.
This signals the movement could outlast Trump himself.
Why it mattersRegardless of today's result, Trump's brand of politics is dug into the GOP and may shape American politics for years.
AustraliaNo direct Australian effect yet, but continued Republican populism may influence US tariff and trade policy affecting Australian exporters and consumers.
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