Democrats hold strong edge in US midterms as Trump approval sinks
Democrats have 75 per cent Senate odds and 95 per cent House odds as Trump's approval hits minus 23.3.
Democrats lead Republicans by 9.5 points on the generic ballot, according to Nate Silver's election forecast. Trump's approval stands at minus 23.3, with 60.2 per cent disapproving and 36.9 per cent approving.
Democrats now lead Republicans in several traditionally Republican-held states including Kansas, Iowa, Texas and Alaska. If disruption from the Iran war continues through the election, with higher petrol and inflation, Republicans face the risk of major losses in both chambers.
Polls show 66 per cent of Americans sympathise more with Ukraine than Russia, though 45 per cent believe Trump sympathises with Russia.
- 75 percent
- Democrats' Senate odds
- 95 percent
- Democrats' House odds
- -23.3
- Trump's net approval
- 9.5 points
- Generic ballot lead
Why it mattersThe outcome will determine which party controls the Senate and House and sets the direction of domestic and foreign policy for the next two years.
AustraliaNo direct Australian effect yet, but a Democratic Congress could affect trade policy and security arrangements that matter to Australia.
Corroborated bytheconversation.com
✓ Claims checked against the source. checked 3 h ago
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