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Ben Carroll. A man in a dark suit and striped tie looks upward with a calm, neutral expression while seated at what appears to be a formal indoor event, with a blurred woman visible behind him.

Ben Carroll's Labor chases fourth consecutive term amid One Nation surge

Victorian election could shift national politics. One Nation may control the lower house outcome for the first time.

Victoria's state election will reshape Australian politics far beyond state borders. ABC election analyst Antony Green says this.

Labor under Ben Carroll is seeking an unprecedented fourth consecutive term. The Liberals under Jess Wilson are mounting a challenge.

This challenge hinges on winning 16 additional seats. They must also hold all their current seats.

The wild card is One Nation. If current polling holds, Pauline Hanson's party could land enough seats.

They could hold the balance of power in the lower house. That would give them a say over who governs Victoria and what terms apply.

This is a first for the party at the state level. The result will ripple across national politics.

Fourth consecutive (unprecedented)
Labor's consecutive terms sought
Pauline Hanson
One Nation party leader
Antony Green, ABC
Election analyst

Why it mattersOne Nation influence over a state government would signal a shift in Australian politics. It would set a precedent for other states and federal races ahead.

AustraliaVictorian voters face a choice between Labor continuity, a Liberal comeback, or One Nation gaining leverage over state governance. The result will influence how federal parties approach coalition-building.

✓ Claims checked against the source and corrected before publish. checked 3 h ago

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